Justin Hryckowian vs Leon Draisaitl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.9%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hryckowian wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 55.0% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 66.5%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 72.0%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 52.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Last 7: Hryckowian 3-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (217)
55.9% (835)
+4.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.8% (228)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (28)
50.0% (40)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hryckowian is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Hryckowian shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Home
59.0% (134)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.6% (119)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
P1
49.3%
55.8%
P2
66.7%
55.7%
P3
51.4%
59.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
54.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |