Justin Hryckowian vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.9%). Look for Hryckowian on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 55.0% vs Kastelic 56.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 69.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 61.0%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Last 6: Hryckowian 6-0 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
3
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
1
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (222)
57.0% (1,613)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
80.0% (25)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (28)
53.6% (274)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hryckowian is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Hryckowian shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Home
59.0% (139)
58.9% (895)
Away
54.6% (119)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Hryckowian
Kastelic
P1
48.6%
58.5%
P2
67.0%
56.9%
P3
51.4%
55.3%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.7%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
54.0%▼
56.5%
57.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |