Who wins more faceoffs, Justin Hryckowian or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Justin Hryckowian's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Justin Hryckowian is 1-7 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-4, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 0-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Justin Hryckowian or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 76.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Justin Hryckowian vs Nathan MacKinnon

Justin HryckowianL vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Justin Hryckowian holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hryckowian 55.0% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+5.4%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 85.3%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 65.9%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 68.8%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.3%

23.7%

76.3%

Hryckowian MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 7 (8 meetings)

Hryckowian MacKinnon

Last 8: Hryckowian 1-7 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Hryckowian MacKinnon

4 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Hryckowian MacKinnon

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Hryckowian MacKinnon

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Hryckowian

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

59.9% (217)

50.0% (992)

+9.9%

Power Play

62.5% (8)

64.9% (148)

-2.4%

Penalty Kill

32.1% (28)

34.4% (32)

-2.3%

On even strength, Hryckowian has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Hryckowian is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).

Hryckowian shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).

Home / Away

Hryckowian

MacKinnon

Home

59.0% (134)

53.3% (591)

Away

54.6% (119)

49.6% (581)

By Period

Hryckowian

MacKinnon

49.3%

49.9%

66.7%

53.2%

51.4%

50.8%

0.0%

66.7%

Final 5 min

55.7%

56.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Hryckowian

54.0%▼

56.5%

56.9%

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

51.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 18, 2026	3	09:55	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 18, 2026	3	09:51	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 18, 2026	2	19:08	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	OT	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	3	10:48	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	2	17:40	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	1	13:40	Defensive	Justin Hryckowian
Oct 11, 2025	1	13:40	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon

Hryckowian's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile