Justin Hryckowian vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hryckowian on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 55.0% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.8%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 79.8%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 60.8%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Last 7: Hryckowian 4-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
4
0
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (217)
45.9% (665)
+14.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
46.8% (111)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (28)
50.0% (24)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hryckowian is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Hryckowian shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
Home
59.0% (134)
44.7% (409)
Away
54.6% (119)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Hryckowian
Schmaltz
P1
49.3%
40.3%
P2
66.7%
47.6%
P3
51.4%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
54.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |