Justin Hryckowian vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +23.1% FO% edge overall. Hryckowian wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 55.0% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+23.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 82.1%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 94.4%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 92.6%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Last 5: Hryckowian 4-1 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (222)
33.7% (895)
+26.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
44.2% (52)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (28)
24.3% (37)
+7.8%
On even strength, Hryckowian has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hryckowian is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Hryckowian shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Home
59.0% (139)
34.7% (490)
Away
54.6% (119)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
P1
48.6%
34.4%
P2
67.0%
33.7%
P3
51.4%
33.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
54.0%▼
56.5%
57.0%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |