Justin Kirkland vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kirkland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 48.2% vs Frost 50.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 86.9%
Neutral zone
Kirkland 67.9%
Result
Justin Kirkland favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kirkland
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kirkland
Frost
Last 5: Kirkland 1-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Kirkland
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Kirkland
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
49.4% (3,598)
-0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.5% (625)
-55.5%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
52.8% (36)
-13.9%
On power play, Frost has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kirkland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Kirkland shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Frost
Home
48.0% (148)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
47.1% (119)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Kirkland
Frost
P1
55.1%
50.8%
P2
46.0%
51.1%
P3
41.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |