Scouting Report
Justin Robidas holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Robidas wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Robidas 49.3% vs Motte 44.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Robidas 84.5%
Defensive zone
Robidas 61.0%
Neutral zone
Robidas 71.0%
Result
Justin Robidas favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Robidas
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Robidas
Motte
Last 5: Robidas 4-1 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Robidas
2
0
Robidas
Motte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Robidas
1
0
Robidas
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Robidas
Motte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Robidas
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (41)
43.6% (424)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.9% (66)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Robidas is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Robidas shoots right. Motte is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Robidas
Motte
Home
50.0% (24)
45.2% (248)
Away
44.4% (18)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Robidas
Motte
P1
57.1%
44.6%
P2
33.3%
42.1%
P3
50.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Robidas
47.6%▬
47.6%
47.6%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Justin Robidas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Justin Robidas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Justin Robidas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Justin Robidas |