Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.5%). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Cooley 45.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 72.6%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 71.5%
Neutral zone
Cooley 52.6%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Sourdif
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sourdif
Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
1
Sourdif
Cooley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
43.9% (392)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
46.5% (71)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
57.1% (7)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Cooley
Home
43.6% (321)
45.0% (211)
Away
47.1% (272)
44.0% (259)
By Period
Sourdif
Cooley
P1
43.1%
44.0%
P2
43.9%
49.7%
P3
48.6%
38.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |