Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Cooley 42.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 73.4%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 67.9%
Neutral zone
Cooley 57.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Sourdif
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sourdif
Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
1
Sourdif
Cooley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
41.7% (1,658)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
46.1% (217)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
43.2% (44)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Cooley is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Cooley
Home
43.6% (321)
43.1% (961)
Away
47.1% (272)
41.4% (958)
By Period
Sourdif
Cooley
P1
43.1%
42.3%
P2
43.9%
43.9%
P3
48.6%
40.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
38.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |