Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Reichel 44.2% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Reichel 54.5%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 63.4%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 51.1%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Sourdif
Reichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
39.7% (116)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Sourdif has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Reichel is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Reichel
Home
43.6% (321)
35.2% (71)
Away
47.1% (272)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Sourdif
Reichel
P1
43.1%
56.8%
P2
43.9%
33.3%
P3
48.6%
29.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%