Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Kadri 47.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 55.6%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 78.0%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 58.0%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Sourdif
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Sourdif
Kadri
Last 10: Sourdif 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
4
2
Sourdif
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
8
Sourdif
Kadri
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
47.4% (821)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
48.8% (86)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
38.5% (13)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Kadri
Home
43.6% (321)
46.6% (487)
Away
47.1% (272)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Sourdif
Kadri
P1
43.1%
52.7%
P2
43.9%
50.2%
P3
48.6%
40.2%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |