Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Kadri 48.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Sourdif 56.4%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 78.9%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 61.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Sourdif
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Sourdif
Kadri
Last 10: Sourdif 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
4
2
Sourdif
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
8
Sourdif
Kadri
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
48.2% (12,510)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
53.0% (1,892)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
41.0% (293)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Kadri
Home
43.6% (321)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
47.1% (272)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Sourdif
Kadri
P1
43.1%
49.2%
P2
43.9%
48.8%
P3
48.6%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |