Who wins more faceoffs, Justin Sourdif or Pavel Buchnevich?

Pavel Buchnevich leads the head-to-head 4-3 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Justin Sourdif's faceoff record against Pavel Buchnevich?

Justin Sourdif is 3-4 against Pavel Buchnevich in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 1-0, Neutral 1-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Justin Sourdif or Pavel Buchnevich?

Pavel Buchnevich is the predicted winner with a 56.1% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Justin Sourdif vs Pavel Buchnevich

Justin SourdifR vs Pavel BuchnevichL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Justin Sourdif holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sourdif 45.6% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+10.3%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Buchnevich 68.8%

Defensive zone Sourdif 70.2%

Neutral zone Buchnevich 56.4%

Result Pavel Buchnevich favored at 56.1%

43.9%

56.1%

Sourdif Buchnevich

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 4 (7 meetings)

Sourdif Buchnevich

Last 7: Sourdif 3-4 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Sourdif Buchnevich

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Sourdif

Sourdif Buchnevich

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Buchnevich

Sourdif Buchnevich

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Sourdif

Buchnevich

Edge

Even Strength

44.3% (585)

34.5% (931)

+9.8%

Power Play

50.0% (24)

44.2% (52)

+5.8%

Penalty Kill

61.5% (13)

24.3% (37)

+37.2%

On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +37.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Buchnevich shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).

Sourdif shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).

Home / Away

Sourdif

Buchnevich

Home

43.6% (321)

35.6% (517)

Away

46.2% (301)

33.6% (503)

By Period

Sourdif

Buchnevich

41.9%

35.2%

44.3%

34.8%

47.9%

33.4%

100.0%

50.0%

Final 5 min

42.9%

38.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Sourdif

36.0%▼

41.0%

44.9%

Buchnevich

48.0%▲

41.0%

34.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 24, 2026	3	16:32	Offensive	Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 24, 2026	3	15:28	Neutral	Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 24, 2026	3	04:08	Defensive	Justin Sourdif
Mar 24, 2026	3	03:51	Offensive	Justin Sourdif
Mar 24, 2026	3	00:00	Neutral	Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 24, 2026	2	09:59	Neutral	Justin Sourdif
Mar 24, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Pavel Buchnevich

Sourdif's Profile | Buchnevich's Profile