Justin Sourdif vs Quinton Byfield
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.0%). Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Byfield 45.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 51.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 58.4%
Neutral zone
Byfield 64.7%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Sourdif
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sourdif
Byfield
Last 7: Sourdif 5-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
2
0
Sourdif
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
2
1
Sourdif
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sourdif
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
46.5% (759)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
35.1% (148)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Byfield is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Byfield
Home
43.6% (321)
46.2% (442)
Away
47.1% (272)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Sourdif
Byfield
P1
43.1%
44.1%
P2
43.9%
43.5%
P3
48.6%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |