Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Bennett 48.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 61.5%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 86.3%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 68.7%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Sourdif
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sourdif
Bennett
Last 5: Sourdif 0-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sourdif
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Sourdif
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sourdif
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
46.4% (780)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
57.3% (150)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
47.8% (46)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Bennett
Home
43.6% (321)
50.3% (519)
Away
47.1% (272)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Sourdif
Bennett
P1
43.1%
47.5%
P2
43.9%
46.6%
P3
48.6%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |