Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 60.5%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 86.5%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 67.5%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Sourdif
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sourdif
Bennett
Last 5: Sourdif 0-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sourdif
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Sourdif
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Sourdif
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
46.8% (5,683)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
53.7% (555)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
41.8% (256)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Sourdif shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Bennett
Home
43.6% (321)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
47.1% (272)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Sourdif
Bennett
P1
43.1%
48.0%
P2
43.9%
46.5%
P3
48.6%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |