Justin Sourdif vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 46.1% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 76.2%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 77.7%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Sourdif
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sourdif
Trocheck
Last 5: Sourdif 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Sourdif
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
0
Sourdif
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Sourdif
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (548)
57.7% (608)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
64.0% (150)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
44.1% (136)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Sourdif is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Sourdif shoots right. Trocheck is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Trocheck
Home
44.1% (313)
54.4% (366)
Away
47.1% (272)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Sourdif
Trocheck
P1
43.6%
56.0%
P2
43.6%
58.6%
P3
49.4%
55.3%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.5%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |