Justin Sourdif vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.9% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 82.2%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 77.1%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 82.5%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Sourdif
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sourdif
Trocheck
Last 5: Sourdif 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Sourdif
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
0
Sourdif
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Sourdif
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (556)
57.8% (626)
-13.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
63.6% (151)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
44.0% (141)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Sourdif is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Sourdif shoots right. Trocheck is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Trocheck
Home
43.6% (321)
54.4% (390)
Away
47.1% (272)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Sourdif
Trocheck
P1
43.1%
56.4%
P2
43.9%
58.7%
P3
48.6%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |