Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Hayes 47.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Williams 86.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 64.8%
Neutral zone
Williams 61.8%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Williams
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Williams
Hayes
Last 10: Williams 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
2
0
Williams
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
5
Williams
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Williams
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
47.6% (6,698)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
51.7% (702)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
45.4% (696)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Williams shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
Williams
Hayes
Home
46.2% (327)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
43.3% (328)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Williams
Hayes
P1
39.9%
47.5%
P2
46.1%
47.7%
P3
49.0%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |