Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Williams 95.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.1%
Neutral zone
Williams 80.4%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Williams
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Williams
Bonino
Last 10: Williams 1-9 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
1
0
Williams
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
Williams
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
6
Williams
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
50.6% (8,315)
-9.1%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
54.1% (972)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
44.6% (1,693)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Williams shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Williams
Bonino
Home
46.2% (327)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
43.3% (328)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Williams
Bonino
P1
39.9%
50.6%
P2
46.1%
48.5%
P3
49.0%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |