Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Williams 68.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 69.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Williams
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
45.4% (4,699)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
51.5% (928)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
35.0% (226)
-0.4%
On even strength, Gagner has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Williams is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Williams shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Williams
Gagner
Home
46.2% (327)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.3% (328)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Williams
Gagner
P1
39.9%
44.6%
P2
46.1%
46.1%
P3
49.0%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%