Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Parssinen wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Parssinen 46.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Parssinen 79.4%
Defensive zone
Parssinen 54.0%
Neutral zone
Parssinen 54.2%
Result
Juuso Parssinen favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Parssinen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Parssinen
Dowd
Last 10: Parssinen 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parssinen
4
0
Parssinen
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
6
Parssinen
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Parssinen
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Parssinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (718)
52.4% (6,009)
-6.3%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
56.1% (164)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
44.1% (1,635)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Parssinen has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Parssinen is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Parssinen shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Parssinen
Dowd
Home
48.9% (395)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
42.5% (379)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Parssinen
Dowd
P1
41.7%
51.7%
P2
49.2%
50.4%
P3
45.6%
50.3%
OT
100.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Parssinen
48.0%▲
44.5%
45.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Juuso Parssinen |