Scouting Report
Kaapo Kakko holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kakko on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kakko wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kakko 50.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kakko 87.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.2%
Result
Kaapo Kakko favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Kakko
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kakko
Backlund
Last 5: Kakko 5-0 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kakko
5
0
Kakko
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kakko
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (78)
50.4% (1,032)
-8.1%
Power Play
77.3% (22)
52.3% (107)
+25.0%
On power play, Kakko has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kakko is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Kakko shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Kakko
Backlund
Home
52.8% (36)
48.7% (749)
Away
48.4% (64)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Kakko
Backlund
P1
45.7%
50.4%
P2
53.8%
50.1%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kakko
50.0%▲
47.4%
50.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 01:41 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |