Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dorwart 47.4% vs MacLean 48.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dorwart 55.4%
Defensive zone
MacLean 56.0%
Neutral zone
Dorwart 50.9%
Result
Karsen Dorwart favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Dorwart
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dorwart
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
1
Dorwart
MacLean
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dorwart
1
0
Dorwart
MacLean
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
2
Dorwart
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dorwart
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (34)
47.6% (540)
-6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
On power play, MacLean has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Dorwart is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Dorwart shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Dorwart
MacLean
Home
57.1% (14)
47.6% (273)
Away
28.6% (21)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Dorwart
MacLean
P1
66.7%
45.5%
P2
26.7%
48.8%
P3
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dorwart
40.0%▬
40.0%
40.0%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%