Kasperi Kapanen vs Mason McTavish

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mason McTavish holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kapanen wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kapanen 45.9% vs McTavish 50.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kapanen 58.4%
Defensive zone Kapanen 54.5%
Neutral zone Kapanen 59.3%
Result Kasperi Kapanen favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Kapanen McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 5 (8 meetings)
3
5
Kapanen McTavish
Last 8: Kapanen 3-5 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
1
Kapanen McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Kapanen McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kapanen McTavish
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kapanen
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (82)
51.1% (769)
-10.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.6% (178)
+49.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
28.6% (14)
+16.9%
On power play, Kapanen has a +49.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kapanen is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Kapanen shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Kapanen
McTavish
Home
35.1% (37)
52.3% (461)
Away
45.6% (57)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Kapanen
McTavish
P1
37.0%
51.5%
P2
43.3%
54.0%
P3
43.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%
39.0%
41.5%
McTavish
46.0%
45.5%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 7, 2025 3 14:10 Offensive Kasperi Kapanen
Apr 7, 2025 3 13:59 Defensive Mason McTavish
Apr 7, 2025 3 05:17 Offensive Kasperi Kapanen
Apr 7, 2025 1 17:51 Neutral Mason McTavish
Mar 4, 2025 3 19:55 Offensive Mason McTavish
Mar 4, 2025 3 19:36 Defensive Mason McTavish
Mar 4, 2025 3 16:45 Defensive Mason McTavish
Mar 4, 2025 3 06:00 Defensive Kasperi Kapanen