Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Kolesar 47.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 63.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 60.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Larsson
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Kolesar
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Kolesar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Kolesar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
46.3% (134)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Larsson shoots left. Kolesar is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kolesar
Home
48.2% (272)
41.2% (51)
Away
49.0% (337)
48.8% (84)
By Period
Larsson
Kolesar
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
56.1%
46.9%
P3
41.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |