Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kolesar wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 47.7% vs Bonino 52.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 58.3%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 67.6%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Kolesar
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kolesar
Bonino
Last 5: Kolesar 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Kolesar
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Kolesar
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (134)
54.9% (395)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.5% (186)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kolesar is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Kolesar shoots right. Bonino is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Bonino
Home
41.2% (51)
52.3% (363)
Away
48.8% (84)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Kolesar
Bonino
P1
50.0%
52.0%
P2
46.9%
56.1%
P3
38.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
39.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |