Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kolesar wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 86.9%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 58.9%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 73.9%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Kolesar
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kolesar
Bonino
Last 5: Kolesar 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Kolesar
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Kolesar
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (382)
50.6% (8,315)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
44.6% (1,693)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kolesar is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kolesar shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Bonino
Home
38.2% (191)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.9% (214)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Kolesar
Bonino
P1
42.1%
50.6%
P2
43.2%
48.5%
P3
39.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |