Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 67.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 59.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Kolesar
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kolesar
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kolesar
1
0
Kolesar
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (170)
44.8% (936)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
33.3% (54)
+0.0%
On even strength, Hartman has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kolesar is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Kolesar shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Hartman
Home
38.0% (92)
47.4% (568)
Away
42.7% (96)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Kolesar
Hartman
P1
41.0%
47.2%
P2
41.9%
43.4%
P3
37.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
38.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |