Scouting Report
Warren Foegele holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foegele shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.8% vs Foegele 49.2% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Foegele 54.9%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 61.3%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kolesar
Foegele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Foegele
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (170)
44.4% (27)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On power play, Foegele has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foegele shoots left. Kolesar is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Kolesar shoots right. Foegele is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Foegele
Home
38.0% (92)
38.9% (18)
Away
42.7% (96)
60.0% (10)
By Period
Kolesar
Foegele
P1
41.0%
66.7%
P2
41.9%
44.4%
P3
37.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
38.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.4%
Foegele
34.0%▼
45.5%
46.4%