Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Aucoin 48.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 55.4%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 68.6%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 59.0%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Stepan
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stepan
Aucoin
Last 5: Stepan 4-1 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Aucoin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Aucoin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
47.8% (320)
+0.2%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
59.1% (22)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
50.0% (2)
-8.4%
On power play, Aucoin has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Aucoin is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Stepan
Aucoin
Home
47.4% (460)
52.6% (154)
Away
44.5% (517)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Stepan
Aucoin
P1
50.3%
42.5%
P2
38.4%
52.9%
P3
49.4%
52.1%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |