Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Aucoin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Eller 49.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 51.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Aucoin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Aucoin
Eller
Last 6: Aucoin 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Aucoin
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
1
Aucoin
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
0
Aucoin
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
49.5% (457)
-1.7%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
57.7% (26)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.1% (59)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Eller
Home
52.6% (154)
51.0% (259)
Away
45.3% (190)
47.7% (283)
By Period
Aucoin
Eller
P1
42.5%
45.7%
P2
52.9%
44.3%
P3
52.1%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |