Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Aucoin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Aucoin
Eller
Last 6: Aucoin 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Aucoin
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
1
Aucoin
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
0
Aucoin
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
52.8% (621)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
46.7% (1,751)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Eller
Home
52.6% (215)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
45.1% (268)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Aucoin
Eller
P1
45.8%
51.2%
P2
49.2%
50.1%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |