Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Aucoin wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Santorelli 54.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 70.7%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 75.4%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 73.3%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Aucoin
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Aucoin
Santorelli
Last 5: Aucoin 0-5 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
2
Aucoin
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
3
Aucoin
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
59.6% (89)
-11.8%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
60.0% (5)
-0.9%
On even strength, Santorelli has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Aucoin is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Aucoin shoots left. Santorelli is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Santorelli
Home
52.6% (154)
62.3% (53)
Away
45.3% (190)
56.1% (41)
By Period
Aucoin
Santorelli
P1
42.5%
51.6%
P2
52.9%
70.6%
P3
52.1%
55.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |