Keith Aucoin vs Mike Santorelli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Aucoin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Santorelli 49.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 53.5%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 57.5%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 50.2%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Aucoin
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Aucoin
Santorelli
Last 5: Aucoin 0-5 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
2
Aucoin
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
3
Aucoin
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
48.4% (1,835)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.0% (298)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
48.5% (132)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Aucoin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Aucoin shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Santorelli
Home
52.6% (215)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
45.1% (268)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Aucoin
Santorelli
P1
45.8%
51.0%
P2
49.2%
49.7%
P3
51.9%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |