Keith Aucoin vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Grigorenko 43.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 57.4%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 87.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 69.9%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Last 5: Aucoin 4-1 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Aucoin
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
4
0
Aucoin
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
38.6% (145)
+9.2%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
25.0% (4)
+34.1%
On power play, Aucoin has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Grigorenko is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Home
52.6% (154)
43.9% (66)
Away
45.3% (190)
33.7% (83)
By Period
Aucoin
Grigorenko
P1
42.5%
40.0%
P2
52.9%
35.8%
P3
52.1%
36.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |