Keith Aucoin vs Mikhail Grigorenko
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Grigorenko 46.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 57.4%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 57.8%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 51.1%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Last 5: Aucoin 4-1 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Aucoin
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
4
0
Aucoin
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
45.3% (1,033)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.0% (50)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
58.5% (65)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Grigorenko is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Grigorenko
Home
52.6% (215)
51.1% (567)
Away
45.1% (268)
42.0% (581)
By Period
Aucoin
Grigorenko
P1
45.8%
43.8%
P2
49.2%
47.1%
P3
51.9%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |