Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Antropov 45.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 64.9%
Defensive zone
Antropov 60.7%
Neutral zone
Antropov 63.5%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Aucoin
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Aucoin
Antropov
Last 8: Aucoin 2-6 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
2
3
Aucoin
Antropov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
3
Aucoin
Antropov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
45.7% (1,209)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
45.5% (191)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
39.0% (77)
+36.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Antropov
Home
52.6% (215)
48.0% (704)
Away
45.1% (268)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Aucoin
Antropov
P1
45.8%
42.8%
P2
49.2%
47.0%
P3
51.9%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |