Scouting Report
Paul Cotter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Cotter 51.1% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Cotter 59.6%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 71.3%
Neutral zone
Cotter 57.1%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Aucoin
Cotter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Cotter
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
50.6% (243)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
64.3% (14)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Cotter has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cotter shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Cotter is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Cotter
Home
52.6% (215)
51.8% (141)
Away
45.1% (268)
51.3% (117)
By Period
Aucoin
Cotter
P1
45.8%
54.4%
P2
49.2%
44.4%
P3
51.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Cotter
56.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%