Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Aucoin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Gionta 41.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 90.7%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 62.6%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 79.6%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Aucoin
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Aucoin
Gionta
Last 8: Aucoin 7-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
0
Aucoin
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
5
1
Aucoin
Gionta
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
40.6% (1,902)
+7.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
61.5% (26)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
40.1% (292)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Aucoin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Aucoin shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Gionta
Home
52.6% (215)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
45.1% (268)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Aucoin
Gionta
P1
45.8%
40.8%
P2
49.2%
41.8%
P3
51.9%
39.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |