Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Pyatt 46.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 74.4%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 53.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 53.2%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Aucoin
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Aucoin
Pyatt
Last 6: Aucoin 4-2 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Aucoin
Pyatt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
1
Aucoin
Pyatt
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
0
Aucoin
Pyatt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
47.2% (922)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.0% (20)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
42.0% (174)
+33.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Pyatt
Home
52.6% (215)
48.0% (598)
Away
45.1% (268)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Aucoin
Pyatt
P1
45.8%
47.1%
P2
49.2%
47.6%
P3
51.9%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |