Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 48.3% vs Cates 45.8% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 73.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 57.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Johnson
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (13)
44.3% (271)
-5.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
77.8% (18)
-34.9%
On power play, Cates has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Johnson is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Johnson shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Johnson
Cates
Home
33.3% (9)
52.0% (148)
Away
45.5% (11)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Johnson
Cates
P1
33.3%
42.7%
P2
33.3%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
40.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%