Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +24.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johnson wins 32.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 36.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-24.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 80.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 77.5%
Result
Kent Johnson favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johnson
Seguin
Last 6: Johnson 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Johnson
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
28.3% (152)
53.7% (8,071)
-25.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
55.9% (810)
-18.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 32.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Johnson shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
26.1% (69)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
31.3% (99)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
20.4%
52.8%
P2
33.3%
53.3%
P3
33.9%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
30.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
29.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Kent Johnson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |