Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Hayes 49.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 62.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 76.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Last 5: Galchenyuk 3-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Galchenyuk
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
3
0
Galchenyuk
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
50.5% (764)
-2.4%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
53.3% (90)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
38.6% (127)
-38.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Hayes
Home
50.9% (214)
49.0% (531)
Away
40.1% (197)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Hayes
P1
44.8%
52.3%
P2
45.7%
45.8%
P3
46.3%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |