Scouting Report
Carter Rowney holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rowney wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 52.2% vs Hayes 50.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.9%
Defensive zone
Rowney 61.9%
Neutral zone
Rowney 57.1%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Rowney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rowney
Hayes
Last 5: Rowney 3-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
2
Rowney
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (219)
50.4% (850)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (91)
50.2% (223)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Rowney has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rowney is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Rowney shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Rowney
Hayes
Home
55.3% (152)
50.0% (586)
Away
50.6% (158)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Rowney
Hayes
P1
54.1%
52.3%
P2
49.6%
52.3%
P3
54.3%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |