Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 50.7% vs Hayes 46.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 51.0%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 68.3%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 53.8%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Gauthier
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gauthier
Hayes
Last 7: Gauthier 4-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Gauthier
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
0
Gauthier
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (154)
45.4% (788)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (56)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
45.2% (124)
-0.6%
On even strength, Gauthier has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gauthier is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Gauthier shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Hayes
Home
52.4% (126)
46.6% (459)
Away
49.5% (109)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Gauthier
Hayes
P1
47.3%
43.0%
P2
52.4%
49.5%
P3
55.0%
44.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
51.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |