Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 60.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Hayes
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Hayes
Brodziak
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
5
Hayes
Brodziak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hayes
Brodziak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
50.5% (6,432)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.8% (326)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
45.5% (1,344)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Hayes shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Hayes
Brodziak
Home
48.1% (3,982)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Hayes
Brodziak
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
47.7%
50.7%
P3
47.9%
49.5%
OT
54.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |