Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.7%). Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs MacLean 47.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacLean 52.2%
Defensive zone
MacLean 52.0%
Neutral zone
MacLean 55.5%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hayes
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Hayes
MacLean
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
MacLean
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
1
Hayes
MacLean
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
3
Hayes
MacLean
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
47.2% (849)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
62.5% (8)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
56.7% (30)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Hayes
MacLean
Home
48.1% (3,982)
46.9% (426)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Hayes
MacLean
P1
47.5%
46.6%
P2
47.6%
49.7%
P3
47.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |