Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Turris 52.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 91.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 58.8%
Neutral zone
Turris 80.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Hayes
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayes
Turris
Last 6: Hayes 4-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Hayes
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
52.7% (942)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
54.9% (226)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
52.6% (57)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Hayes shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Hayes
Turris
Home
46.6% (459)
56.3% (627)
Away
44.8% (509)
49.7% (598)
By Period
Hayes
Turris
P1
43.0%
50.4%
P2
49.5%
53.9%
P3
44.7%
54.9%
OT
28.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |