Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Turris 50.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 71.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Hayes
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Hayes
Turris
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
5
Hayes
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
8
3
Hayes
Turris
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
2
6
Hayes
Turris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.2% (7,653)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.4% (1,312)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
48.6% (580)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Hayes
Turris
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Hayes
Turris
P1
47.5%
51.5%
P2
47.6%
50.8%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
54.1%
56.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |